Haskell Stakes 2025: Can Journalism Dominate Again or Will an Underdog Steal the Show at Monmouth Park?

Haskell Stakes 2025: Can Journalism Dominate Again or Will an Underdog Steal the Show at Monmouth Park?

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The 2025 Haskell Stakes at Monmouth Park promises to deliver high-stakes drama as Preakness champion Journalism aims to cement his dominance against a field of determined challengers. With a 4-5 favorite status and Triple Crown momentum, the Michael McCarthy-trained colt faces his toughest test yet on New Jersey’s demanding track.

While Journalism’s consistency makes him the logical choice, dark horses like Gosger and Bracket Buster threaten to rewrite the script. As the “Win and You’re In” qualifier for the Breeders’ Cup Classic, this year’s Haskell could redefine the summer racing landscape.

Summary
  • Journalism dominates as the 4-5 favorite after his Preakness victory and strong Triple Crown performances, aiming to cement his status as a top contender for the Breeders’ Cup Classic.
  • Gosger emerges as a serious challenger, boasting a perfect 2-for-2 record at Monmouth Park and a dominant Pegasus Stakes win, while Bracket Buster lurks as a dark horse with 12-1 odds.
  • The Haskell Stakes serves as a “Win and You’re In” qualifier for the Breeders’ Cup Classic, with NBC coverage starting at 5 p.m. EST and post time at 5:45 p.m.
  • Track conditions and weather could play a pivotal role, potentially favoring slop specialists like Bracket Buster over Journalism, who has never raced on a wet surface.
  • Betting value lies beyond the favorite, with exacta and trifecta combinations featuring Gosger, Bracket Buster, and longshot Kentucky Outlaw (20-1) offering lucrative payouts.
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Haskell Stakes 2025: Can Journalism Dominate Again or Will an Underdog Steal the Show at Monmouth Park?

The 2025 Haskell Stakes at Monmouth Park is shaping up to be one of the most anticipated races of the summer season. All eyes are on Triple Crown standout Journalism, who enters as the 4-5 morning line favorite following his Preakness Stakes victory. Trained by Michael McCarthy, this colt has demonstrated remarkable consistency throughout his career, finishing in the money in all eight starts.

Monmouth Park presents unique challenges with its tighter turns and unpredictable track conditions. While Journalism has shown adaptability at Churchill Downs and Pimlico, the question remains whether he can maintain his dominance on this different surface. The Jersey Shore track has historically favored horses with early speed and tactical positioning, factors that could influence the outcome.

Remember what happened to Essential Quality in 2021? Even dominant horses can get caught at Monmouth if they don’t respect the track’s quirks.
Journalism at Preakness Stakes
Source: fanduel.com

Top Contenders: Analyzing the Challengers to Journalism’s Throne

Gosger: The Local Favorite With Home Track Advantage

New Jersey-bred Gosger has emerged as Journalism’s primary challenger, boasting a perfect 2-for-2 record at Monmouth Park. The Lexington Stakes winner showed incredible versatility in his Pegasus Stakes victory, winning by seven lengths despite sloppy conditions. Trainer Kelly Breen has emphasized how special a Haskell win would be for the local racing community.

Gosger’s running style could pose problems for Journalism. His natural speed allows him to secure favorable positioning early, potentially forcing Journalism to expend more energy than usual to maintain contact. The table below compares key statistics between the top contenders:

Horse Speed Figure Wins at Monmouth Stakes Wins
Journalism 108 0 3
Gosger 102 2 2
Bracket Buster 98 1 1
Don’t underestimate home field advantage at Monmouth. Remember American Pharoah’s surprise loss in 2015? Local horses know this track like their backyard.

The Dark Horses: Potential Haskell Stakes Upsetters

Bracket Buster: The Slop Specialist

At 12-1 odds, Bracket Buster presents intriguing value for handicappers. The Todd Pletcher trainee skipped the Triple Crown circuit but has been posting consecutive bullet workouts at Saratoga. His Pegasus Stakes victory in the slop was visually impressive, though questions remain about his ability to transfer that form to a fast track.

Goal Oriented: Baffert’s Latest Hope

Bob Baffert seeks his record-extending 10th Haskell victory with Goal Oriented. While not as flashy as some of Baffert’s previous entrants, this colt has shown steady improvement and could benefit from the predicted pace scenario.

Gosger racing
Source: americasbestracing.net
Baffert’s horses always seem to find another gear at the Haskell. Even when they’re not the favorites, you can never count them out completely.

Track Conditions and Weather: The X-Factor at Monmouth Park

The Jersey Shore’s unpredictable summer weather always plays a crucial role in Haskell outcomes. Current forecasts suggest possible scattered showers that could create sloppy track conditions – a scenario where Gosger has already proven himself, while Journalism remains untested.

Key factors to consider about Monmouth’s track:

  • The surface tends to favor speed horses in dry conditions
  • Sloppy tracks often produce unexpected results and higher payouts
  • The tight turns can challenge larger-striding horses like Journalism
If it rains, throw out all your previous analysis. A wet track at Monmouth turns the Haskell into a completely different race.

Betting Strategies: Finding Value in the 2025 Haskell Stakes

With Journalism at such short odds (4-5), smart bettors are looking to exotic wagers for better value. Here are some strategic approaches:

Exacta and Trifecta Combinations

Boxing Journalism with Gosger and Bracket Buster in exactas could yield solid returns. Adding a longshot like Kentucky Outlaw (20-1) in third position for trifectas increases potential payouts dramatically.

Win Bets on Second Choices

For those opposed to the favorite, Gosger at 3-1 offers reasonable odds for a horse with his credentials. His local success makes him a safer alternative than typical second choices.

Haskell Stakes field
Source: horseracingnation.com
The real money at Monmouth comes from spotting the overlay. Last year’s $79 winner proved that even the oddsmakers get surprised sometimes.

Haskell’s Breeders’ Cup Implications: A Classic Preview?

As a “Win and You’re In” qualifier for the Breeders’ Cup Classic, the Haskell takes on added significance this year. A dominant performance by Journalism could establish him as the early favorite for November’s championship race at Keeneland.

Historical parallels worth noting:

  • Authentic (2020) used his Haskell win as springboard to Horse of the Year
  • Monmouth form doesn’t always translate to other tracks – see Good Magic’s 2018 campaign
  • The Breeders’ Cup will be run at Keeneland, with very different characteristics than Monmouth
Journalism winning Preakness
Source: horseracingnation.com
Winning the Haskell doesn’t guarantee Breeders’ Cup success, but it does give connections crucial options for the rest of the season.
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