ASU Football Seeks AP Top 25 Spot After Baylor Win: TCU Showdown Looms

The Arizona State Sun Devils are knocking on the door of the AP Top 25 after a dramatic 23-21 victory over Baylor, fueled by Jesús Gómez’s clutch field goal. Despite the statement win, ASU remains unranked—setting up Friday’s showdown with TCU as a must-win for national recognition.

Kenny Dillingham’s squad now faces a pivotal test against undefeated TCU, with playoff implications and Big 12 supremacy on the line. Can the Sun Devils prove their resurgence is no fluke?

Arizona State Football Knocking on AP Top 25 Door After Baylor Win

The Arizona State Sun Devils made a strong case for Top 25 consideration with their dramatic 23-21 victory over Baylor to open Big 12 play. Despite the thrilling last-second win secured by kicker Jesús Gómez’s field goal, ASU remains unranked in the latest AP poll, sparking debates about voting criteria.

A closer look reveals why voters might be hesitant: Baylor itself wasn’t ranked, and ASU’s only loss came against an SEC opponent in a close contest. Comparatively, other bubble teams like Texas Tech (who dominated Utah 34-10) and Indiana (who crushed No. 9 Illinois 63-10) boast stronger resumes with ranked victories.

The committee prioritizes “game control” metrics – ASU never trailed Baylor in the second half. That consistent performance against Power 5 competition should outweigh blowouts against weaker opponents.

The Critical TCU Showdown: Trap Game or Statement Opportunity?

Coming off an emotional Baylor victory, Arizona State faces undefeated TCU (3-0) in what experts are calling a potential “trap game.” The Horned Frogs present unique challenges:

• 3rd in Big 12 scoring defense (17.3 PPG allowed)
• 85.7% red zone touchdown rate
• +5 turnover margin through three games

The Friday night matchup at Mountain America Stadium gives TCU’s coaches extra preparation time while ASU deals with a condensed week. Historically, Coach Dillingham’s teams have performed well in short-week situations, going 5-0 last season.

This TCU defense thrives on disguising coverages – ASU’s offensive line must communicate perfectly to protect their quarterback and establish the run early.

ASU’s Offensive Evolution Faces Ultimate TCU Test

The Sun Devils offense has transformed into a balanced attack averaging 34 points per game. Key improvements include:

• Tight ends emerging as red zone threats (4 touchdowns)
• Quarterback completing 68% of passes with just 2 interceptions
• Improved third-down conversion rate (47%)

TCU’s defense specializes in generating pressure with four rushers while dropping seven into coverage. ASU must establish their rushing attack early to prevent predictable passing situations.

Quarterback Matchup Could Decide the Game

ASU’s signal-caller has shown tremendous growth, particularly in situational awareness. However, TCU leads the Big 12 with 11 sacks and has intercepted five passes. The battle in the trenches will be critical.

Watch ASU’s pre-snap motion – Dillingham’s creative formations could force TCU’s linebackers to tip their coverage intentions.

Kenny Dillingham: The Overlooked Coach of the Year Candidate

Despite transforming ASU from Big 12 afterthought to conference champion in 2024 and starting strong this season, Kenny Dillingham receives surprisingly little Coach of the Year buzz. His accomplishments include:

• 14-3 record since November 2024
• Developing NFL-caliber talent from three-star recruits
• Innovative offensive schemes that adapt weekly

The lack of recognition may stem from geographic bias and ASU’s absence from preseason rankings. A victory over TCU could force national media to finally take notice.

Dillingham’s player development rivals any coach nationally – turning overlooked recruits into NFL prospects is his superpower.

ASU’s Playoff Pathway in Expanded 12-Team Format

With college football’s new 12-team playoff structure, Arizona State controls its destiny despite being unranked. Their remaining schedule presents both challenges and opportunities:

• Home vs. TCU (3-0)
• At Utah (2-1)
• Home vs. Oklahoma (3-0)
• At Texas Tech (3-0)

The November stretch against Oklahoma and Texas Tech appears crucial. Win those, and ASU would likely be ranked while controlling their division. The Big 12’s depth means multiple teams could make the expanded playoff.

Key Factors for Playoff Consideration

• Maintain top-30 strength of schedule
• Limit losses to no more than two
• Win conference championship
• Develop signature wins against ranked opponents

ASU’s November schedule is brutal, but remember – they thrived as underdogs last season. This team plays with house money mentality.