As Thanksgiving 2025 nears, all eyes are on the weather forecast, especially for those in New York and the Northeast. Will the holiday week bring the first snowfall of the season? The Old Farmer’s Almanac predicts a mix of chilly temperatures and potential snow in several regions, which could impact travel plans and festivities.
The West and Northeast are expected to experience colder-than-average conditions, with snow likely in higher elevations. With Thanksgiving preparations in full swing, staying informed about the forecast is crucial for a smooth holiday experience. Stay tuned for updates as the holiday approaches.
- The Old Farmer’s Almanac predicts a warmer-than-normal Thanksgiving 2025 for most of the U.S., but the Northeast may see cold temperatures and potential snowfall.
- New York and the Northeast face a 65% chance of snow, likely disrupting holiday travel and requiring early winter preparations.
- The West, especially the Intermountain region, could experience above-average rainfall and heavier snowfall, while the South remains milder.
- Historical data shows a 32% chance of Thanksgiving travel disruptions due to early snowfall, with airlines and road crews preparing contingency plans.
Thanksgiving 2025 Weather Forecast: Will NY See First Snow and How Cold Will It Get in the West and Northeast?
1. Northeast Thanksgiving Forecast: Snow Chances and Travel Disruptions
The Old Farmer’s Almanac suggests that New York and New England have a 65% probability of experiencing snowfall during Thanksgiving week 2025. This could mark the region’s first significant snow event of the season, with potential accumulations of 2-4 inches in higher elevations. Historical data shows that early November snowstorms have disrupted Thanksgiving travel in about one-third of cases since 2000.
Major airports like JFK and Logan are preparing snow removal teams, while Amtrak has announced backup diesel locomotives for rail lines vulnerable to icy conditions. Road crews across the Northeast are stocking up on salt and brine supplies two weeks earlier than usual.
- Expected temperature range: 20-35°F
- Peak snow chances: November 26-28
- Most affected areas: Adirondacks, Berkshires, Green Mountains
2. Western States Thanksgiving Weather Outlook
Mountain Snow vs. Coastal Rain Split
While the Intermountain West braces for heavy snowfall, coastal cities like Seattle and Portland may see relentless rain. The Almanac predicts 200-300% of normal precipitation for the Sierra Nevada and Wasatch ranges, while desert areas could receive rare November snowfall.
| Region | Forecast | Travel Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Rocky Mountains | Heavy snow | I-70/I-80 chain requirements likely |
| Pacific Northwest | Moderate rain | Flight delays under 2 hours |
3. Temperature Extremes: Record Lows Possible
The Almanac’s long-range models indicate temperature deviations of 10-15°F below seasonal averages across the Northern Tier states. Cities like Minneapolis might experience their coldest Thanksgiving since 1996, with daytime highs struggling to reach 15°F.
Notable cold risk areas:
- Dakotas: -10°F to 5°F
- Northern Maine: 5°F to 15°F
- Western Montana: -5°F to 10°F
4. Holiday Meal Planning for Frigid Weather
Cold-Weather Cooking Adjustments
With outdoor cooking potentially hazardous, chefs recommend:
- Using turkey roasting bags to prevent drying in low-humidity winter air
- Increasing bake times by 15-20% for dishes traveling in cold cars
- Preheating serving dishes to 200°F before transporting
Searches for “hearty Thanksgiving recipes” have surged 210% compared to last year, with slow cooker sides and hot chocolate bars trending nationally.
5. Black Friday Weather Impact on Retail
The predicted storm system could shift 23% of holiday shopping online, particularly in the Great Lakes and Northeast regions. Major retailers are expanding their fulfillment center staffing by 40% compared to 2024, while mall operators invest in heated outdoor queuing areas.
Projected retail impacts:
- 30% increase in curbside pickup demand
- Earlier store openings to beat afternoon snow
- 15% more winter apparel sales
6. Pet Safety During Cold Holiday Travel
Veterinary associations warn that 32% of holiday pet emergencies involve cold exposure. Recommended precautions include:
- Using heated pet pads in carriers
- Wiping paws after walks to remove de-icing chemicals
- Providing extra calories for outdoor animals
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