When Will Clay Holmes Pitch Next? Analyzing the Mets Starter’s Upcoming Outing and ERA Trends After Guardians Series

When Will Clay Holmes Pitch Next? Analyzing the Mets Starter’s Upcoming Outing and ERA Trends After Guardians Series

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New York Mets fans are buzzing with anticipation for Clay Holmes’ next start after his solid but uneven performance against the Guardians. The right-hander’s upcoming outing could prove pivotal as the Mets push for postseason contention in a tight NL race.

Holmes’ next projected start comes August 11th against the Miami Marlins, giving him extra rest that may help counter recent command issues. With a 2.97 ERA this season but concerning second-half trends (3.92 post-All-Star), all eyes will be on whether Holmes can regain his dominant first-half form.

Summary
  • Clay Holmes is projected to start on August 11th against the Miami Marlins, following the Mets’ schedule and rotation pattern after the Guardians series.
  • His ERA has shown concerning trends, rising from 2.58 in the first half to 3.92 post All-Star break, with a 4.15 ERA in his last 3 starts.
  • Velocity dip in his sinker (from 96.8 mph in April to 95.9 mph in July) correlates with decreased effectiveness, raising questions about fatigue.
  • Struggles against Marlins persist, with a 4.24 career ERA and 5.14 ERA at loanDepot Park, potentially impacting the Mets’ rotation decisions.
TOC

When Will Clay Holmes Pitch Next? Analyzing the Mets Starter’s Upcoming Schedule

Clay Holmes pitching for Mets
Source: espn.com

New York Mets right-hander Clay Holmes is scheduled to make his next start on August 11 against the Miami Marlins at loanDepot Park, according to the team’s rotation alignment following their series against Cleveland. This maintains the five-day rest schedule the Mets have carefully managed for their 32-year-old starter throughout the 2025 season.

Holmes enters this outing with an 8-4 record and 2.97 ERA across 18 appearances (16 starts), having logged 102.1 innings of work. The veteran’s consistency has been vital for a Mets club engaged in a tense National League playoff race, where every quality start carries amplified importance.

The schedule presents an interesting decision point for manager Carlos Mendoza. With an off-day on August 8, the Mets could potentially give Holmes an extra day of rest and push his start back to August 12. This would provide additional recovery time after facing a demanding Guardians lineup.

The data shows Holmes performs significantly better on five days rest (2.41 ERA) compared to four (3.28 ERA). That extra day seems to help him maintain velocity and command of his signature sinker.

Key Factors Influencing Holmes’ Next Start

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