New York City’s 2025 mayoral election is entering its final stretch with progressive candidate Zohran Mamdani leading polls at 46%, while Andrew Cuomo trails at 33% in a dramatic political comeback attempt. Early voting turnout has surged 15% compared to 2024, signaling high voter engagement in this pivotal race.
The election landscape shifted significantly after Mayor Eric Adams’ exit, giving Cuomo a path to consolidate moderate support. With final results not expected until November 15 due to mail-in ballots, all eyes are on whether Mamdani can maintain his double-digit lead.
- Zohran Mamdani leads the NYC mayoral race with 46% support, followed by Andrew Cuomo at 33% and Curtis Sliwa at 15%, according to recent polls.
- Early voting is showing high turnout, with over 120,000 ballots cast on the first day, a 15% increase from 2024.
- Final certified election results are expected by November 15, with mail-in ballots accepted until November 12.
- Cuomo’s comeback hinges on moderate Democrats and older voters, but 58% of voters still view him unfavorably due to past scandals.
NYC Mayoral Election Results 2025: Current Poll Leader and Key Developments
The 2025 New York City mayoral race has reached a critical phase as early voting gains momentum. According to the latest Quinnipiac University poll, Democratic candidate Zohran Mamdani leads with 46% support, followed by independent Andrew Cuomo at 33% and Republican Curtis Sliwa trailing at 15%. This marks a decisive shift from September’s four-way race, where Mamdani’s advantage was narrower.
The political landscape transformed after Mayor Eric Adams exited the race unexpectedly last month. Cuomo has gained 8 points since Adams’ withdrawal, but still faces a double-digit deficit against Mamdani’s progressive coalition. Early voting patterns suggest strong turnout in Mamdani strongholds like Brooklyn and the Bronx.
Why Early Voting Numbers Favor Mamdani
Over 120,000 ballots were cast on the first day of early voting – a 15% increase from 2024. Key observations:
- Bronx precincts reported 22% higher turnout than 2024
- Queens neighborhoods show tighter margins between Mamdani/Cuomo
- Mail ballots requested: 58% from registered Democrats vs 27% independents
Final Vote Count Timeline: When Will NYC Know Its Next Mayor?
New York’s complex election system means results won’t be instantaneous. Here’s what to expect:
| Date | Milestone |
|---|---|
| Nov 4 | Unofficial in-person results by midnight |
| Nov 5-12 | Mail ballot processing (must be postmarked by Election Day) |
| Nov 14 | Military/overseas ballot deadline |
| Nov 15 | Final certification |
The 2021 election saw 125,000 mail ballots counted after Election Day – enough to potentially shift outcomes in a close race. With ranked-choice voting no longer in play for the general election, first-past-the-post rules could advantage Mamdani’s consolidated base.
Candidate Breakdown: Strengths and Vulnerabilities
Zohran Mamdani: The Progressive Frontrunner
The democratic socialist has unified left-leaning voters behind:
- Universal rent control proposal
- Defund-to-reallocate police policy
- Green New Deal for NYC infrastructure
Andrew Cuomo: The Comeback Attempt
The former governor’s surprising resurgence relies on:
- Name recognition (92% NYC voter awareness)
- Perceived competence during crises
- Endorsements from police unions
Key Issues Deciding the Election
Voter priorities have crystallized into three main concerns:
- Housing Affordability: 78% rate as “extremely important”
- Public Safety: 65% want increased police presence
- Transit Reliability: 58% cite subway delays as daily frustration
How to Track Results on Election Night
For real-time updates:
- NYC Board of Elections results portal
- NY1’s interactive precinct map
- Twitter hashtag #NYCvotes2025
Critical precincts to watch:
| Borough | Key District | 2021 Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Queens | District 24 (Jackson Heights) | D+38 |
| Brooklyn | District 33 (Williamsburg) | D+42 |
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